Simulation of Government Policy Impact on Food Security and Poverty in Aceh

Zakiah Zakiah, Fauzan Fauzan

Abstract


Insufficient food availability causes most of food need in Indonesia fulfilled by import. This study aims to analyze the influence of government policy on food security and poverty in Aceh. It uses panel data of 21 regencies in 2007 to 2016 which were selected based on agricultural sector. Data were analyzed using 2 SLS method.  Historical simulations are used to simulate food security in Aceh. The analysis showed that a single policy alone, for example to increase government spending, would not effective to increase food security and reduce poverty in Aceh. Combination of policies in increasing government spending on food crops sub-sector, followed by stabilization on food price is the most effective way to improve food security and reduce poverty. To increase farmer’s capital assistance, especially for poor farmers, government may bear some of the cost of production to produce food by providing working capital assistance in the form of a special program financing.


Keywords


food security, poverty, simulation

Full Text:

PDF

References


Anriquez, G. (2007). Rural Development and Proverty Reduction: is Agriculture Still The Key. Jurnal of Agriculture and Development Economics. Vol. 4, No. 1, (5-46)

Ariani, M., H.P. Saliem, G.S. Hardono and T.B. Purwatini. (2007). Wilayah Rawan Pangan dan Gizi Kronis di Papua, Kalimantan Barat dan Jawa Timur. Pusat Analisis Sosial Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pertanian, Departemen Pertanian, Bogor.

BPS. (1996-2016). Statistik Keuangan Daerah. Jakarta.

Baldos, U. L. C. and Thomas, W. H. (2014). Global Food Security in 2050: The Role of Agriculture Productivity and Climate Change. Australian Journal of Agriculture and Resources Economics. (58), 554-570.

Christiaensen, L., Demery, L., & Kuhl, J. (2011). The (evolving) role of agriculture in poverty reduction—An empirical perspective. Journal of Development Economics, 96(2), 239-254.

FAO (1996). Rome Declaration of the World Food Security and World Food Summit Plan of Action. FAO, Rome.

Gaiha R, Katsushi S. Imai, Ganesh Thapa, and Woojin Kang (2012). Fiscal Stimulus, Agriculture Growth and Poverty in Asia. The world Economy. 35 (6). 713-739.

Ibrahim, B., M, Rituhardoyo, S., and Setiadi, (2016). Characteristics of Poverty in Rural Commonities of Gold Mining District Area West Sumbawa. Mimbar, 32 (1), 163-174

Ilham, N, Hermanto S, dan D.S Priyarsono, (2006). Efektivitas Kebijakan Harga Pangan terhadap Ketahanan Pangan. Jurnal Agro Ekonomi. 24(2). 157-177.

Irz, X., Lin, L., Thirtle, C., & Wiggins, S. (2001). Agricultural productivity growth and poverty alleviation. Development policy review, 19(4), 449-466.

Jhingan, M.L. (2000). Ekonomi Pembangunan dan Perencanaan, Raja Grafindo Persada, Jakarta.

Landau, D. L. (1986). Government and economic growth in the less developed countries: an empirical study for 1960-1980. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 35-75.

Levine, R., & Renelt, D. (1992). A sensitivity analysis of cross-country growth regressions. American economic review, 82(4), 942-963.

Lopez, R., & Galinato, G. I. (2007). Should governments stop subsidies to private goods? Evidence from rural Latin America. Journal of Public Economics,91(5), 1071-1094.

Mogues, T., Yu, B., Fan, S., & McBride, L. (2012). The impacts of public investment in and for agriculture: Synthesis of the existing evidence. ESA Working Paper No 12-0. Agricultural Development Economics Division. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.

Musgrave, R.A and Peggy, (1989). Public Finance in Theory and Practice. McGrawhill Book Company. New York.

Pecapp, 2013. Analisis Belanja Aceh 2013. www.belanjapublikaceh.org.

Pusdatin Kementrian Pertanian RI, (2015). Statistik Penduduk dan Kemiskinan sektor Pertanian. Pusat Data dan Informasi Pertanian.

Rada, N. E., Buccola, S. T., & Fuglie, K. O. (2011). Government policy and agricultural productivity in Indonesia. American journal of agricultural economics, 93(3), 863-880.

Ram, R. (1986). Government size and economic growth: A new framework and some evidencefrom cross-section and time-series data. American Economic Review, 76(1), 191-203.

Ramey, V. A. (2011). Can government purchases stimulate the economy? Journal of Economic Literature, 49(3), 673-685.

Ravallion, M., & Datt, G. (1996). How important to India's poor is the sectoral composition of economic growth? The World Bank Economic Review, 10(1), 1-25.

Saliem, E.M. Lokollo, M. Ariani, T.B. Purwantini, and Y. Marisa. (2005). Analisis Ketahanan Pangan Tingkat Rumah Tangga dan Regional. Pusat Penelitian dan Pengembangan Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian, Balai Penelitian dan Pengembangan Pertanian, Bogor.

Siregar, H and Wahyuniarti, D. (2008). Dampak Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Terhadap Penurunan Jumlah Penduduk Miskin. http://pse.litbang.go.id/ind.

Stiglitz, J.E. (2000). Economic of The Public Sector. 3rd Edition. New York: W.W. Norton and Company.

Suryahadi, A., & Hadiwidjaja, G. (2011). The role of agriculture in poverty reduction in Indonesia. In Centre for Strategic Economic Studies–Australian Centre for International Agricultural Research International Workshop on the Role of Agriculture in Poverty Reduction, Melbourne.

Taiwo, M. (2011). Goverment Expenditure and Economics Development: Empirical Evidence From Nigeria. European Journal of Business and Management. 3(9).18-29.

Thomson, A. (2004). Agriculture, Growth and Proverty Reduction. Departement for Internasional Development Working Paper, Oktober 2004.

Timmer, C.P. (2004). Food Security and Economic Growth : An Asian Perspective. H.W. And Memorial Lecture. Australian National University.

Timmer, P. (1995). Getting Agriculture Moving: Do Market Provide The Right Signal?. Food Policy 20(5): 455-472.

Todaro, Michael P, Stephen C. Smith. (2000). Pembangunan Ekonomi. (Jilid 1) Jakarta : Erlangga.

Wieck, C., Rudloff, B., Heucher, A., & Heckelei, T. (2014). Agri-investments and public spending in selected vulnerable countries–will they contribute to reduce food insecurity?. Discussion Paper 2014 : 1

World Bank, (2007). World Development Report 2008. Agriculture for Development Washington DC.




DOI: https://doi.org/10.29313/mimbar.v34i2.3454

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.




MIMBAR : Jurnal Sosial dan Pembangunan is licensed under  Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License